Hotlines
January 10, 2019

Stocks Are Down…Over the Past Year

The year is young, but so far, it’s also been profitable. As you know, both Jeff and I thought the selling at the end of 2018 was overdone, as there really was no reason for the panic that some investors apparently succumbed to. The economy was still growing, interest rates were still low, unemployment was still scraping lows we haven’t seen in years. Plus, for all the yammering, a trade war had still not ensued—and still might never, since it doesn’t behoove either party, the U.S. or China, to engage in their mutual self-destruction.

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News
January 2, 2019

Special Hotline: Hot Hands 2019

Our Hot Hands strategy relies on the idea that hot hands don’t suddenly go cold when the calendar turns, and that what’s worked over the past 12 months should work over the next 12. We’ve just announced the fund to buy for 2019 based on this momentum-driven system.

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Issues
January 2019 PDF

Thinking Things Through

We have plenty in this month’s issue for you to ponder as the New Year begins. In addition to announcing the 2019 Hot Hands fund, we have our 2019 Outlook, penned by Jeff—which means that it’s also time for our 2018 Scorecard, where we go back and review the calls he made last year at this time. Not surprisingly, it turns out that reasonable expectations and a cautious outlook mean you won’t get caught looking like a fool when someone goes back to check on how you fared as a prognosticator. Unfortunately, the winner of our 2019 Roubini Award for worst market calls of 2018 didn’t fare quite as well. Also in the issue, you can find our 2018 Year in Review, where we mark what happened in every month of 2018 at Vanguard, in the markets and around the world.

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Guidebook Cover 2019
Order your copy of the 2019 Independent Guide to the Vanguard Funds today

"America's leading expert on investing in Vanguard funds"

Daniel P. Wiener is editor of The Independent Adviser for Vanguard Investors, a monthly newsletter that keeps abreast of recent developments at Vanguard, and the annual FFSA Independent Guide to the Vanguard Funds. Through his newsletter and guide book, Dan helps tens of thousands of Vanguard investors choose wisely among more than 100 Vanguard mutual funds. The Adviser is a five-time winner of the Newsletter Publishers Foundation's Editorial Excellence Award. View More »

Vanguard Funds Correlation
What's This?
Model Portfolio Performance
ModelsDecember2018
Growth-9.2%-6.1%
Conservative Growth-7.2%-3.8%
Income-6.1%-2.6%
Growth Index-9.1%-6.5%
The average
Vanguard investor
-5.5%-4.9%
Past Performance »
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